Reajustando as Estratégias de Moscou na Ásia:
Rússia e Sudeste Asiático num Mundo Multipolar
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.5752/P.2317-773X.2023v11n3p11-28Palavras-chave:
Rússia, Sudeste da Ásia, Multipolaridade, Ásia, Percepções, ChinaResumo
A parceria da Rússia com a China serviu como um colchão estratégico para a liderança do país lançar a operação militar na Ucrânia. Ao mesmo tempo, as relações cordiais com aliados de longo prazo na Ásia reforçaram a decisão da Rússia de tomar uma medida tão perigosa e assumir os riscos de ser cortada
financeiramente pelo Ocidente. Nesse sentido, as relações não apenas com a China, mas com outros poderes médios e pequenos da Ásia são cruciais para o desenvolvimento da Rússia nos próximos anos. O Sudeste Asiático parece ser um dos parceiros prospectivos mais importantes. As relações entre Rússia e Sudeste Asiático mostram que, apesar das conquistas evidentes em várias esferas, os planos da Rússia na região permanecem não fundamentados em termos de políticas e carecem de uma estratégia abrangente. Em última análise, a Rússia precisa determinar em que medida está comprometida com sua “reorientação” para a Ásia e o que espera dela, e se está pronta para recalibrar substancialmente seu relacionamento com o Sudeste Asiático.
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Referências
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LEICHTOVA, Magda. Misunderstanding Russia: Russian Foreign Policy and the West. England: Ashgate, 2014.
LISSOVOLIK, Yaroslav. The Year of ASEAN Centrality. Russian International Affairs Council. 22 July 2022. Available at <https://russiancouncil.ru/en/analytics-and-comments/comments/the-year-of-asean-centrality/>. Accessed 10 October 2022.
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LUKYANOV, Fyodor. Na peredovoi. Russia in Global Affairs. 1 May 2022. Available at: <https://globalaffairs.ru/articles/na-peredovoj/>. Accessed 11 November 2022.
MAHASETH, Harsh; WONG, Natalie. Understanding the Intricacies between Southeast Asia and Russia. Asian Research Journal of Arts & Social Sciences. 16(2): 10-22, 2022.
MEZHDUNARODNYE OTNOSHENIYA. Rossiia - Siam. 1863–1917: Dokumenty i materialy. 1997. Moscow.
MUELLER, Lukas Maximilian. Challenges to ASEAN centrality and hedging in connectivity governance—regional and national pressure points. The Pacific Review, 34(5), 747-777, 2021. https://doi.org/10.1080/09512748.2020.1757741
PHIRAMONTRI, Rom. Rol’ imperatora Nikolaya II v bor’be za sokhranenie nezavisimosti Siama. K 120-letiyu diplomaticheskikh otnosheniy Tailanda i Rossii. Vestnik Moskovskogo universiteta, 12, 46-62. 2017.
PHUBUNLAP, Orathai. The Russia-Ukraine Conflict: Implications for Thailand and ASEAN. International Studies Center. 3 March 2022. Available at: <https://isc.mfa.go.th /en/content/the-russia-ukraine-conflict-implications?cate=5f204a5928600c531517cb75>. Accessed 29 July 2022.
PIETRASIAK, Malgorzata. Russia in the process of constructing regional structures in Southeast Asia. Eastern Review, 2021, T. 10. https://doi.org/10.18778/1427-9657.10.02
PRIMAMEDIA. Probki vo Vladivostoke – ne tol’ko na dorogakh: akvatoriyu stolitsy DFO zapolnili suda-grusoperebozchiki. 24 November 2022. Available at: <https://primamedia.ru /news/1402933/>. Accessed 27 November 2022.
RANGSIMAPORN, Paradorn. Russian perceptions and policies in a multipolar East Asia under Yeltsin and Putin. International Relations of the Asia-Pacific. Volume 9(2009), 207–244.
RENTV. V Indonezii razmestili banner c obnovlennoy rossiyskoy kartoy. 16 November 2022. Available at: <https://ren.tv/news/v-rossii/1046683-rossiiskuiu-delegatsiiu-na-g20-vstretili-bannerom-s-obnovlennoi-kartoi?utm_source=yxnews&utm_medium=desktop> Accessed 17 November 2022.
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SEAH, Sharon. et al. The State of Southeast Asia: 2022. Singapore: ISEAS-Yusof Ishak Institute, 2022.
SKOSYREV, Vladimir. Rossiya teryaet vliyanie v Yugo-vostochnoy Asii. Nezavisimaya gazeta. 10 November 2022. Available at: <https://www.ng.ru/world/2022-11-10/6_8587_asia.html>. Accessed 12 November 2022.
SMITH, Hanna. Putin’s Third Term and Russia as a Great Power. In: BASSIN, Mark; SUSLOV, Mark. Eurasia 2.0: Russian Geopolitics in the Age of New Media. Lanham: Lexington Books, 2016.
STOREY, Ian. The Russia-Ukraine War and its Potential Impact on Russia’s Arms Sales to Southeast Asia. ISEAS Yusof Ishak Institute. (47) 2022.
TASS. Putin zayavil o formirovanii mnogopolyarnoi sistemy mira. 30 June 2022. Available at: <https://tass-ru.turbopages.org/turbo/tass.ru/s/politika/15082807>. Accessed 20 November 2022.
TCHAKAROVA, Velina. The DragonBear: Putin’s Choices. Observer Research Foundation. 28 April 2022. Available at <https://www.orfonline.org/expert-speak/the-dragonbear-putins-choices/>. Accessed 17 September 2022.
THAKUR, Ramesh; THAYER, Carlyle. The Soviet Union as An Asian-pacific Power: Implications of Gorbachev's 1986 Vladivostok Initiative. London: Westview, 1988.
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2024-08-20
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Contreras-Luna, R., & Kunnamas, N. (2024). Reajustando as Estratégias de Moscou na Ásia:: Rússia e Sudeste Asiático num Mundo Multipolar. Estudos Internacionais: Revista De relações Internacionais Da PUC Minas, 11(3), 11–28. https://doi.org/10.5752/P.2317-773X.2023v11n3p11-28
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Special Issue – Contemporary Russia in International Relations
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